PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF CHARACTERISTICS RECOVERY CYCLE OF A COMPLEX TECHNICAL SYSTEM

Author(s): Kalinin Vladimir Mikhailovich, Shamraeva Victoria Viktorovna

Rubric: Mathematical cybernetics

DOI: 10.21777/2500-2112-2019-1-64-74

Release: 2019-1 (26)

Pages: 64-74

Keywords: efficiency, recovery cycle, stochastic process, residual life, forecasting, operation management of complex technical system

Annotation: The problem of the efficiency of the recovery cycle management of a complex technical system is considered. In the process of operation of complex technical systems, failures of some elements occur, and the quality of the system as a whole deteriorates. At the same time, the nature of the costs of ensuring and restoring the quality of functioning of systems is antagonistic. For each specific system, it is necessary to study the relationship between the parameters of the recovery cycle and the indicators of the quality of its functioning in relation to the complex indicator of the economic efficiency of the system at all stages of its life cycle. The article deals with the evaluation and effectiveness of management of the recovery cycle of complex technical systems on the example of civil buildings. As it is known, in the housing sector, with constantly growing material expenditures for the technical operation of buildings, the quality level of their functioning changes very slightly. It is proposed to adapt and Supplement the modern efficiency management apparatus with the recovery cycle of complex technical systems, developed for high-tech sectors of the national economy for the operation of civil buildings, taking into account their features as non-productive systems with a very high social status. Priority additions, determining the effectiveness of management of the rehabilitation cycle of civil buildings, proposed to use indicators of frequency (repeatability) of adverse situations in users of buildings and a set of socially significant costs to ensure the quality of the functioning of the building for a long time. The proposed additions provide a theoretical basis for the applied methods of management of the recovery cycle of complex systems based on the probabilistic analysis of the existing methods of technical operation of buildings.

Bibliography: Kalinin VL.MI., Shamraeva VI.VI. PROBABILISTIC ANALYSIS OF CHARACTERISTICS RECOVERY CYCLE OF A COMPLEX TECHNICAL SYSTEM // Education Resources and Technologies. – 2019. – № 1 (26). – С. 64-74. doi: 10.21777/2500-2112-2019-1-64-74