A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF APPLICANTS’ PUBLICATION BACKGROUND ON THE PROBABILITY OF ON-TIME THESIS DEFENSE

Author(s): Dymkova S.S., Kretova I.S., Varlamov O.V.

Rubric: Methods and technologies of training and education

DOI: 10.21777/2500-2112-2026-1-48-59

Release: 2026-1 (54)

Pages: 48-59

Keywords: postgraduate studies, bibliometrics, thesis defense, scientometric methods and tools, publication background, monitoring of scientific activity, on-time defense

Annotation: This article analyzes the relationship between publication activity of applicants to doctoral programs and the likelihood of their successful on-time thesis defence. The issue of empirically verifying publication background as a predictor of successful thesis defense is underrepresented in the Russian scientific literature, making this research topic relevant. This empirical study was conducted using data from the doctoral program at the Mos- cow Technical University of Communications and Informatics (MTUCI) and the Russian Science Citation Index (RSCI), a national bibliographic database. Bibliometric indicators of 121 postgraduate students were collected based on the initial data on those enrolled in postgraduate studies in 2017–2020 and those who graduated in 2021–2024. The analysis of the generated dataset confirms the correlation between the bibliometric indicators of doctoral program applicants and the probability of their successful on-time thesis defence. During the study, a methodology was developed for the integrated assessment of postgraduate students’ publication background. The research addresses the important and methodologically significant issue of assessing predictors of academic success in the training of highly qualified personnel.

Bibliography: Dymkova S.S., Kretova I.S., Varlamov O.V. A STUDY OF THE IMPACT OF APPLICANTS’ PUBLICATION BACKGROUND ON THE PROBABILITY OF ON-TIME THESIS DEFENSE // Education Resources and Technologies. – 2026. – № 1 (54). – С. 48-59. doi: 10.21777/2500-2112-2026-1-48-59